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The accuracy of supervised machine learning models is evaluated using various performance metrics and parameters, depending on the specific problem and the nature of the data. Some common parameters used to evaluate the accuracy of supervised machine learning models include:
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Accuracy: This is the most straightforward metric and is simply the ratio of correctly predicted instances to the total number of instances. While easy to understand, accuracy can be misleading, especially when dealing with imbalanced datasets where one class is much more prevalent than others.
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Precision: Precision measures the proportion of true positive predictions (correctly predicted positive instances) out of all positive predictions (both true positives and false positives). It indicates the model's ability to avoid false positives. High precision is desirable when false positives are costly. Namely, precision is a measure of how many of the predicted positive instances were actually positive.
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Recall (Sensitivity or True Positive Rate): Recall calculates the proportion of true positive predictions out of all actual positive instances. It indicates the model's ability to capture all positive instances and avoid false negatives. High recall is important when false negatives are costly.
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F1-Score: The F1-score is the harmonic mean of precision and recall. It provides a balanced measure of a model's performance by considering both false positives and false negatives. It is especially useful when there's a class imbalance.
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Specificity (True Negative Rate): Specificity measures the proportion of true negative predictions (correctly predicted negative instances) out of all actual negative instances. It is the opposite of recall and is important when the cost of false negatives is low.
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Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC-ROC): The ROC curve plots the true positive rate (recall) against the false positive rate for different classification thresholds. AUC-ROC quantifies the overall performance of a model across various thresholds. It is useful for binary classification tasks and provides insights into how well the model distinguishes between classes.
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Area Under the Precision-Recall Curve (AUC-PR): Similar to AUC-ROC, the AUC-PR curve plots precision against recall for different thresholds. It is particularly informative for imbalanced datasets, where positive instances are rare.
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Confusion Matrix: A confusion matrix provides a comprehensive view of a model's performance by showing the counts of true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative predictions.
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Mean Absolute Error (MAE): Used for regression tasks, MAE measures the average absolute difference between predicted and actual values. It gives an idea of the magnitude of the model's errors.
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Mean Squared Error (MSE): Another regression metric, MSE calculates the average of the squared differences between predicted and actual values. It amplifies larger errors and is sensitive to outliers.
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Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE): RMSE is the square root of MSE and is more interpretable in the original scale of the target variable.
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R-squared (Coefficient of Determination): This metric explains the proportion of the variance in the target variable that is predictable from the independent variables. It helps assess how well the model fits the data.
These are just some of the key parameters used to evaluate the accuracy of supervised machine learning models. The choice of metrics depends on the specific problem, the nature of the data, and the goals of the analysis. It's important to select metrics that align with the desired outcomes and potential trade-offs in a given application.
Both recall and precision capture the
inherent duality of a task. Precision is defined as:
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The range of values that constitute "good" machine learning performance varies widely depending on the specific task, dataset, and domain. There is no universal threshold or fixed range for metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, or mean squared error (MSE) that applies to all machine learning projects. What's considered good performance depends on several factors:
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Task Complexity: Simple tasks may require high accuracy, precision, recall, or low MSE, while more complex tasks might have more forgiving performance requirements.
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Data Quality: High-quality, well-preprocessed data often leads to better model performance. In contrast, noisy or incomplete data may result in lower performance.
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Imbalanced Data: In classification tasks with imbalanced class distributions, achieving a high accuracy might be misleading. In such cases, precision, recall, or F1-score for the minority class may be more important.
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Domain Requirements: Different domains and applications have varying tolerances for errors. For example, in medical diagnosis, high recall (to minimize false negatives) is often crucial, even if it means lower precision.
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Business Impact: Consider the real-world impact of model predictions. The consequences of false positives and false negatives can greatly influence what is considered acceptable performance.
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Benchmark Models: Comparing your model's performance to a baseline or existing models in the field can help determine if your model is achieving a meaningful improvement.
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Human-Level Performance: Sometimes, you may aim to achieve performance that is close to or even surpasses human-level performance on a task.
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Application-Specific Metrics: Certain applications might have specific metrics tailored to their requirements. For example, in natural language processing, you might use metrics like BLEU or ROUGE for text generation tasks.
To determine what range of values constitutes good performance for your specific project, you should:
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Set Clear Objectives: Clearly define what you aim to achieve with your model and how its predictions will be used in the real world.
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Consult with Stakeholders: Discuss performance expectations and requirements with domain experts and stakeholders to ensure alignment with project goals.
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Use Validation Data: Split your data into training, validation, and test sets. Use the validation set to tune hyperparameters and assess model performance.
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Consider Trade-offs: Understand that there are often trade-offs between different performance metrics. Improving one metric may negatively impact another, so choose metrics that align with your project's priorities.
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Iterate and Improve: Continuously monitor and improve your model's performance, considering feedback from stakeholders and real-world performance.
In summary, there's no universal answer to what range of values is "good" for machine learning performance metrics. It's context-specific and should be determined based on the nature of your project and its requirements.
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Text classification based on the values in ColumnA to predict the values for ColumnB. Precision is a measure of how many of the predicted positive instances were actually positive. The average parameter in the precision_score function specifies how to compute precision for multi-class problems. Here, we are dealing with a multiclass classification problem, where we have multiple labels in each row and we want to classify based on those labels. In this case, we should calculate precision using one of the multiclass average options, such as 'micro', 'macro', or 'weighted'. In the code below, we have used 'macro' as the average option for precision calculation. This calculates precision independently for each class and then takes the average. Certain classes might not have any predicted samples in our test data, which can lead to an ill-defined precision value. To handle this issue, we use the zero_division parameter in the precision_score function to control the behavior when a division by zero occurs. That is, by setting zero_division=1, you ensure that the precision score for classes with no predicted samples will be treated as 0, avoiding the warning message. Code:
![Naive Bayes classifier](images3/4021a.png)
Group A:
Input A: Train:
![Naive Bayes classifier](images3/4085b.png)
Input B: Test (which is the same as the Train file):
![Naive Bayes classifier](images3/4021c.png)
Output:
Group B:
Input A: Train:
![Naive Bayes classifier](images3/4085b.png)
Input B: Test (which is not the same as the Train file):
![Naive Bayes classifier](images3/4085e.png)
Output (due to the differences between Test and Train files, the accuracy is lower now):
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